Buffalo Bills

Buffalo’s 12-5 regular season finish delivered a +116 point differential and a +6.8 scoring margin, anchored by a league-leading 28.3 points per game that outpaced opponents by 6.8 points nightly. The recent stretch tells a mixed story: a loss to Denver on the road in mid-January preceded a convincing 27-point home demolition of the Jets and a three-point road win over Jacksonville, though a one-point home stumble against Philadelphia exposed defensive fragility in tight contests. The latest result, a narrow loss to Denver, underscores a pattern bettors should track heading into playoffs: Buffalo’s offense remains elite, but late-season inconsistency in close games suggests the Bills lack the margin for error other AFC contenders possess. With a 1-game winning streak ending that Denver loss, the team enters the postseason as a high-octane outfit capable of scoring its way past most opponents, yet vulnerable to disciplined defenses that can weather the initial onslaught and force Buffalo into second-half adjustments.