Denver Broncos

Denver’s 14-3 regular season established them as a legitimate AFC threat, outscoring opponents by 90 points and holding defenses to just 18.3 points per game while averaging 23.6 themselves. The Broncos closed strong with a two-game winning streak, including a road victory over Kansas City, though a late-season loss to New England at home and an earlier blowout to Jacksonville revealed vulnerability against certain defensive schemes. Their home record proved decisive: three of their last five contests were played in Denver, where they went 2-1 despite the Patriots setback. As the playoffs approach, bettors should note the Broncos’ tendency to alternate wins and losses in recent weeks, a pattern that suggests inconsistency in clutch situations. The 14-win floor is respectable, but the point differential of plus-90 masks execution gaps that could surface against elite playoff competition. Denver’s ability to control games at home will be critical; expect their spread positioning to reflect that home-field edge heavily.